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Kensington
Resources Poised To Jump-Start Huge Diamond Project To Pre-Feasibility
Stage
By
Marc Davis, Managing Editor
May/June, 2003
10.23
Carat Diamond Recovered From
Fort À La Corne Kimberlite 140/141
Kensington
Resources Ltd. (TSX.V-KRT) (www.kensington-resources.com)
is a well-respected junior exploration company that is sitting
on top of the world's largest diamond deposit. In fact, Kensington
and its partners control a whole cluster of huge diamond-bearing
kimberlite pipes. And they're not in some desolate overseas
outpost. Remarkably, they are all located in central Canada.
The world's pre-eminent diamond experts, De Beers, are certainly
impressed enough to commit big money to this joint venture.
In fact, for De Beers' Canadian exploration division, this
high-stakes project glimmers with the prospect of becoming
the world's largest diamond mine.
Located
in the Fort à la Corne region of the prairie province
of Saskatchewan, a field of 70-plus kimberlite pipes has been
the focus of this epic treasure hunt for well over a decade.
To date, a total of over $27 million has been spent on exploration
by the joint venture partnership. It consists of Kensington
(42.25%), De Beers Canada Exploration Inc., (42.25%), Cameco
Corporation (5.5%) and UEM Inc. (10% carried). The partnership's
numerous kimberlite pipes comprise 121 claims, sprawling over
280 square kilometres or approximately 57,000 acres of table-flat
countryside.
Indeed,
this prolific diamond field hosts the largest concentration
of diamondiferous kimberlite in the world. Remarkably, over
70% of these 69 pipes are diamond-bearing, while half of them
contain statistically significant macro-diamonds. (stones
larger than 1 mm) This amounts to an estimated mass of nearly
10 billion tonnes of geologically prospective diamond-laced
rock. That's quite a daunting figure. By comparison, De Beers'
Victor pipe in northern Ontario, which is expected to become
Canada's next diamond mine, is comprised of about 25 million
tonnes of ore-grade rock.
Among
the partnership's exploration highlights to date has been
the recovery of a 3.335-carat diamond. Found in 2001 near
the surface of the "flagship" 140/141 pipe, it confirms
the presence of high quality, gem-sized stones and is valued
at US $450 per carat. Moreover, this discovery is especially
significant in that gems in excess of one carat are quite
rare and can greatly enrich the overall value of a deposit.
The prospect of finding more multi-carat stones is proving
to be a powerful incentive for the partnership to advance
the project in 2003 closer to a production decision.
Many
of the highly promising Fort à la Corne pipes remain
largely unexplored due to budget constraints. But a small
handful has been singled out for detailed examination during
the last several years. The highest priority pipes are those
whose grade forecasts indicate the presence of commercial-sized
stones. These include the 122, 140/141, 147, 148 and 150 pipes.
Of all of these, the standout candidate for a commercial deposit
at this time is the mammoth 140/141 pipe - the largest in
the world. Originally believed to be two adjoining pipes,
the 140/141 kimberlite complex has a surface area that covers
250 hectares and contains over 500 million tonnes of diamondiferous
rock. This compares with an average surface area of between
two and three hectares for each of the producing pipes at
the Diavik and Ekati diamond mines in the Northwest Territories.
These multi-billion dollar pipes are very representative of
the size of commercial mines around the world.
In
stark contrast, the Fort à la Corne pipes are virtually
unprecedented in terms of their huge mass. This is because
Saskatchewan pipes have escaped erosion (unlike pipes elsewhere
in Canada) and remain almost completely intact. Protected
by thick sedimentary layers left by an ancient inland sea,
they have huge surface area, which is both a blessing and
a concern for the joint venture partnership. By way of explanation,
it makes for the prospect of prolific, relatively low-cost
diamond mining operation. But until then, it also involves
exhaustive work in determining where exactly the diamonds
are concentrated in such large mineral bodies.
It's
a challenge, however, that the partnership is very capable
of handling - especially with De Beers' bringing to bear its
100-years-plus of diamond hunting expertise.
"The
resource here, the potential resource, is by far the largest
in the world. But we have a huge amount of work to do before
being able to make a decision about mining here," Richard
Molyneux, President and CEO of De Beers Canada Corp. announced
in late 2002.
"They
certainly are, by a long way, the largest diamond deposits
known anywhere in the world. That introduces all sorts of
positive aspects in terms of the options for very large volume
mining operations."
His
remarks don't just refer to the scope of the project. They
also allude to the fact that the project is located in an
easily accessible area only 65 kilometres (40 miles) from
the town of Prince Albert. This industry-friendly town functions
as a service, retail and distribution centre for northern
Saskatchewan's resource industries - mining, forestry and
agriculture. An airport, a well-developed highway, a railway
service, and ample power sources all contribute to offering
ideal infrastructure for a major mining operation.
Also,
huge producing pipes tend to have a long mine life - meaning
big profits and significant job opportunities for such an
economically under-developed region. And the cost of running
an open pit mine in central Saskatchewan with solid infrastructure
and close proximity to large towns would be a fraction of
the cost of operating in the Northwest Territories and other
remote regions.
The
project also benefits from a high level of government and
public support for the mining industry in general. Indeed,
this particular project has even received the seal of approval
from Lorne Calvert, the Premier of Saskatchewan. He sees the
obvious economic advantages not just for the region but also
for the whole province. After all, an open pit mine would
cost close to $1 billion to build, along with a mill facility,
with much of this expenditure benefiting the local economy.
Also, a total of 800 to 1,000 jobs would be created. And the
joint venture partnership would likely realize about $500
million in taxable annual revenues.
Thus,
with all the right dynamics in place for a mine, the emphasis
is now on Kensington and its partners to make this "win-win"
scenario a reality. But to do that, they first have to get
a clearer picture of the grades and stone counts of their
best pipes. To this end, a total of 251 drill holes have been
completed with 4,290 tonnes of mini bulk samples excavated
as of the end of 2002. Bulk samples establish the parameters
of grade and stone quality. The process consists of taking
large samples of rock from different facies (beds) of a pipe
to get a representative idea of its overall diamond content.
It's a very inexact science, especially since diamonds are
often chaotically dispersed throughout a pipe. So, De Beers'
initial calculations are really no more than rough estimations
at best. Regardless, De Beers has made some early computer-modeled
extrapolations of what the rock is worth.
A
cautiously optimistic scenario for the 140/141 pipe suggests
a value close to $150 per carat and a grade range of 0.20
to 0.25 carats per tonne. This translates into values of around
US $30 per tonne but the early stage of evaluation makes grade
and revenue calculations highly speculative. On the basis
of industry-quoted numbers, Kensington estimates that operating
costs could go as low as US $10 per tonne, making for gross
profits of about US $20 per tonne. And with an anticipated
daily rate of production of between 40,000 and 60,000 tonnes
of ore from the 140/141 pipe, alone, that would make for significant
cash flow. The prospect of putting other pipes into production
could easily double or triple the mine's output.
However,
the biggest criticism of the project to date has been the
initial grades of the 140/141 pipe. Yet, a grade of 0.20 to
0.25 carats per tonne is actually similar to De Beers' wholly-owned
Victor pipe in Ontario, which is tiny by comparison. Nonetheless,
it is expected to be a full operational diamond mine by 2006.
Admittedly, the rock value for the Victor pipe is projected
to be a much higher US $60 per tonne. Having said that, it
needs richer rock as it is only 1/37 of the size of the 140/141
pipe and would be more expensive to mine from an engineering
and logistical perspective.
De
Beers' modeled values for macro diamonds from kimberlite 140/141
also range from US $20 to $220 per carat - a wild variance
suggesting the need to do more systematic bulk sampling in
2003. However, core drilling in 2002 has shown several new
phases of kimberlite and an increase in geological complexity
from that seen in previous drilling. Continued bulk sampling
of these new areas of kimberlite could reveal a number of
enriched zones in the body (pipe).
Indeed,
such work is crucial to increasing the confidence of grade
forecasts and valuations, as well as revenue modeling estimates.
The case for an accelerated and more extensive bulk sampling
program in 2003 and beyond is especially timely in light of
the newly-defined geological complexity (at least four phases
of kimberlite) in the 141/140 body, as well as the considerable
variations in diamond size distribution.
Meanwhile,
a 1,272-tonne 2002 bulk sample program consisting of the large
diameter drilling of three 36-inch and five 24-inch drill
holes within the 141/140 kimberlite body is expected to go
a long way towards extrapolating such invaluable data. And
these results, which are expected in late spring, should infuse
some sizzle into the project, according to Kensington's President
David Stone.
"I
think, as was the case in 2002, the diamond recovery will
reveal good gem-quality diamonds that are bigger than what
we have seen in the past," he says.
Indeed
no one is more anxious to see these diamond counts than Kensington's
technical team. Experts with the mining junior are very optimistic
but still have some concerns that De Beers' grade forecasts
may have erred on the low side. This is due to the small diamond
sample accumulated to date and a lack of systematic sampling
across the breadth of the 140/141 kimberlite body. (It appears
to be a valid concern that is echoed by other independent
diamond industry experts that SmallCapMedia spoke with).
"As
for moving forward, we need to sample the pipe more thoroughly
than has been the case to date. There could be any number
of enriched zones that may produce good-to- impressive-sized
diamonds like the 3.335-carat one that was found near the
pipe's surface. Interestingly, that facies of the pipe hasn't
been bulk sampled at all as De Beers believes that the best
diamonds are likely to be found at depth," Stone adds.
"But
the important thing is that we are making solid progress in
understanding the potential of the pipe. And as a group, we
all believe that there will be a mine here. Otherwise, we
would have walked away years ago."
Meanwhile,
Stone is keen to point out that key exploration decisions
do not rest solely with De Beers. The conservative-minded
diamond cartel has been accused in the past of taking a plodding,
dogmatic approach -- rather than an innovative one -- to exploring
these enigmatic kimberlite pipes. In fact, the partnership
trio makes all exploration decisions multilaterally. And that
is why Kensington has stacked its management and advisory
team with seasoned, highly regarded natural resource industry
professionals, particularly in the diamond industry sector.
David
Stone, Kensington's affable President, has undertaken the
task of assembling such an illustrious team. He, himself,
has over twenty years of experience in mining and mineral
exploration. This includes a decade of experience as a director
and officer of a number of publicly listed natural resource
companies. Also a Kensington director, Mr. Stone has served
as President since June 1997.
The
company also benefits from the considerable experience of
fellow director James Rothwell. He was President and CEO of
Dia Met Minerals Ltd. between 2000 and 2001. This famed diamond
junior was a founding partner in the multi-billion dollar
Ekati Diamond Mine and is credited with the mine's discovery.
Mr. Rothwell successfully implemented the board of directors'
decision to sell the company at a significant premium for
its shareholders. Prior to that, he worked for nearly 15 years
for the global mining powerhouse and the majority owner of
the Ekati Mine, BHP Minerals. His tenure with BHP culminated
in being appointed President of the company's diamond division,
BHP Diamonds, from 1997 to 2000. Mr. Rothwell led BHP's entry
into the diamond industry via the development of the Ekati
Mine -- Canada's first ever diamond mine. All told, he has
over 25 years of experience in corporate strategic planning
and business development in North America and overseas.
Also,
the company's board of directors is further strengthened by
the involvement of Bill Zimmerman who has more than 30 years
of experience in the mineral exploration business with the
major mining companies BHP Minerals and Utah International.
In 1994, he became instrumental in the development of the
Ekati Mine's marketing program. He later also served as President
of BHP Diamonds and became a director of Kensington after
his retirement from BHP in 2001.
A
key member of Kensington's technical advisory team is Professor
Peter Nixon, PhD. He is an Emeritus Professor at the School
of Earth Sciences, University of Leeds in the United Kingdom.
Regarded as a world authority on diamonds and diamond exploration,
Professor Nixon has written over 100 scientific papers and
two books on the subject. Furthermore, during his distinguished
career, he has been actively involved in diamond exploration
in all of the world's renowned diamond producing regions.
Most recently, he has co-authored several important documents
on the geology of the partnership's extraordinary Fort à
la Corne diamond pipes.
On
a technical note, Kensington has 48.96 million outstanding
(54.56 million fully diluted) with a market cap of approximately
US $25.5 million or Can. $38 million. SmallCapMedia believes
that the company's share price is significantly undervalued.
We're not alone in this assessment. For instance, John Kaiser,
arguably North America's most astute analyst of diamond exploration
and mining companies, has assigned a theoretical project value
of between US $200 million and US $500 million to the Fort
à la Corne project. With Kensington's 42.5% interest
in this venture, this suggests the company's market cap should
ideally be three to eight times higher at between US $85 million
and $212 million.
Meanwhile,
with the company's share price languishing from a lack of
substantial news over the winter period, it appears to have
found support near its two-year lows. This suggests a consolidation
phase has been entered from which the share price has solid
upside potential on the likelihood of encouraging news from
the 2002 bulk sample results. Any positive news regarding
these diamond counts will likely prompt the partnership to
embark upon an ambitious 2003 exploration and development
program. And that, in itself, should act as a further catalyst
to revitalizing Kensington's share price. Accordingly, SmallCapMedia
believes that Kensington's share price is poised to make appreciable
gains throughout the balance of 2003 once the 2002 bulk sample
results are announced.
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